William & Mary Tribe
Neutral · model win chance 65%
93
Neutral · model win chance 35%
88
Preview · Mon 11/23, 3:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center, Youngstown, OH · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:27 PM ET
William & Mary Tribe 9365% to win IU Indianapolis Jaguars 8835% to win
W&M -4.5model spread
181.3model total
78possessions

No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

W&MIUIN
Net rating-4.3 #211-10.0 #284
Offense110.6 #100104.3 #207
Defense114.9 #335114.3 #331
Tempo75.4 #973.0 #47
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
William & Mary Tribenon-Horizon team, not tracked
IU Indianapolis Jaguars0 short0same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.