Neutral · model win chance 56%
76
Georgia State Panthers
Neutral · model win chance 44%
74
Preview · Mon 11/23, 4 PM ET · How to watch: PTB Live · Tickets from $65 · Suncoast Credit Union Arena, Fort Myers, FL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:31 PM ET
Tulane Green Wave 7656% to win Georgia State Panthers 7444% to win
TULN -1.8model spread
149.6model total
68possessions

No line yet. American lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

TULNGAST
Net rating-2.0 #178-4.5 #213
Offense107.2 #154104.6 #203
Defense109.2 #249109.1 #247
Tempo69.6 #23169.3 #255
Games this season45
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When American lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Tulane Green Wave3784+1 h
Georgia State Panthersnon-American team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.