Fairborn, home of Wright State, grew to six times its population between 1950 and 1970.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
WRST 80, TOL 80model score
+0.5model spread (home)
160.5model total
7.5points off the final margin
UnderdogTOL +1.51.0LostOver 157.53.0Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
+3.0
159.0
our snapshots
Latest
+11.0
149.5
9900
-100000
our snapshots (9 books)
Close
+1.5
157.5
-105
-115
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin -8 (home)ATS WRST coveredTotal 144 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
WRST
3
136
1
same
TOL
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).