Capital Crusaders
Away · model win chance 0%
57
Home · model win chance 100%
88
Preview · Sun 11/15, 2 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $35 · UPMC Events Center, Moon Township, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Capital vs. Robert Morris prediction: model has Robert Morris by 31

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Capital visits Robert Morris (0-3) at UPMC Events Center in Moon Township Sunday at 2 PM ET on ESPN+.

Our model makes Robert Morris a 31-point favorite, projecting an 88-57 final. Capital is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.

Players to watch: KJ Garris Jr. of Robert Morris, 12.6 points a game; KC Ugwuakazi of Robert Morris, 4.6 points a game; Eddie Cooke III of Robert Morris, 4.3 points a game.

Robert Morris traveled about 815 miles to Moon Township.

Robert Morris beat Kentucky 59-57 in the first round of the 2013 NIT, then lost 77-68 to Providence in the second round.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ET
Capital Crusaders 570% to win Robert Morris Colonials 88100% to win
RMU -31.0model spread
145.2model total
74possessions

RMU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

CAPURMU
Net ratingnon-D-I-13.5 #318
Offensenon-D-I94.6 #338
Defensenon-D-I108.1 #218
Temponon-D-I68.1 #302
Games this season2133
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Capital Crusadersnon-MAC team, not tracked
Robert Morris Colonials3815same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.