Calumet St. Joseph Crimson Wave
Away · model win chance 0%
63
Home · model win chance 100%
95
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Hilliard Gates Sports Center, Fort Wayne, IN · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ET
Calumet St. Joseph Crimson Wave 630% to win Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 95100% to win
PFW -32.5model spread
158.0model total
77possessions

PFW is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

CSJPFW
Net ratingnon-D-I-13.5 #317
Offensenon-D-I98.6 #303
Defensenon-D-I112.1 #292
Temponon-D-I71.5 #100
Games this season2133
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Calumet St. Joseph Crimson Wavenon-MAC team, not tracked
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons2235same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.