Western Michigan rolled past Purdue Fort Wayne 81-59 on the road in Fort Wayne.
Julien Gomez led Western Michigan with 19 points and 4 3-pointers. Anthony Isaac Jr. had 11 points for Purdue Fort Wayne. Adam Harakow led all players with 8 rebounds for Western Michigan.
Western Michigan had 11 3-pointers to Purdue Fort Wayne's 4. Western Michigan covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 24.4 points.
Purdue Fort Wayne, then known as IPFW, reached its first Summit League tournament championship game in 2014 and lost to North Dakota State.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Western Michigan vs. Purdue Fort Wayne prediction: model has Purdue Fort Wayne by 1
Western Michigan visits Purdue Fort Wayne (1-1) at Memorial Coliseum (IN) in Fort Wayne Thursday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Purdue Fort Wayne a 0.9-point favorite, projecting a 76-75 final, and gives Purdue Fort Wayne a 53% chance to win. The betting market has Western Michigan favored by 2 with a total of 153.5. The model leans Purdue Fort Wayne +2.0 and Under 153.5.
Players to watch: Anthony Isaac Jr. of Purdue Fort Wayne, 14.6 points a game; Ashton Williamson of Purdue Fort Wayne, 8 points a game; Edir Ortiz of Purdue Fort Wayne, 3.5 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
WMU 74, PFW 76model score
-2.4model spread (home)
150.2model total
24.4points off the final margin
UnderdogPFW +2.54.9LostUnder 152.52.3Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
PK
150.0
our snapshots
Latest
+18.5
145.5
99900
-100000
our snapshots (9 books)
Close
+2.5
152.5
110
-130
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -22 (home)ATS WMU coveredTotal 140 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
WMU
non-MAC team, not tracked
PFW
4
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).