Berea Mountaineers
Away · model win chance 0%
65
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $30
· Truist Arena, Highland Heights, KY
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETNKU -36.2model spread
166.7model total
79possessions
NKU is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Donovan Rakotonanahary NKU · F
+4.5#4 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Noah Pagotto NKU · F
+2.8#12 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Will Shortt NKU · F
+0.4#37 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| BERE | NKU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | -9.9 #283 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 103.3 #222 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 113.2 #309 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 73.5 #34 |
| Games this season | 213 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Berea Mountaineers | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Northern Kentucky Norse | 4 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.