New Mexico State Aggies
Neutral · model win chance 53%
68
Preview · Sun 11/22, 2:30 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· The Reef, Jacksonville, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETNMSU -1.0model spread
135.8model total
66possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Eddie Cooke III RMU · G
+3.7#6 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
KC Ugwuakazi RMU · F
+0.5#49 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
KJ Garris Jr. RMU · G
-0.1#54 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| RMU | NMSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -13.5 #318 | -12.1 #300 |
| Offense | 94.6 #338 | 101.7 #255 |
| Defense | 108.1 #218 | 113.8 #324 |
| Tempo | 68.1 #302 | 68.0 #306 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Morris Colonials | 2 | 900 | same |
| New Mexico State Aggies | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.