Away · model win chance 19%
62
Bradley Braves
Home · model win chance 81%
73
Preview · Wed 11/18, 8 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $15 · Carver Arena, Peoria, IL · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ET
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons 6219% to win Bradley Braves 7381% to win
BRAD -10.6model spread
134.7model total
69possessions

No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

PFWBRAD
Net rating-13.5 #317-3.5 #195
Offense98.6 #30397.0 #314
Defense112.1 #292100.5 #74
Tempo71.5 #10067.5 #331
Games this season35
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons2111-1 h
Bradley Bravesnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.