Milwaukee beat Indiana State 82-73 on the road in Terre Haute.
Beloit, Wisconsin, native Amare Hereford led Milwaukee with 23 points and 6 assists. Maguire Mitchell had 19 points and 4 3-pointers for Indiana State. Chance Puryear led all players with 9 rebounds for Indiana State.
Milwaukee covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 17.5 points.
Milwaukee's 12-game nonconference schedule this season put eight games on the road, including trips to USC, TCU and Florida.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Milwaukee at Indiana State preview: model has Indiana State by 7
Milwaukee (1-2) visits Indiana State at Hulman Center in Terre Haute Wednesday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Indiana State a 7.1-point favorite, projecting a 79-72 final, and gives Indiana State a 72% chance to win. The betting market has Indiana State favored by 4 with a total of 154. The model leans Indiana State -4.0 and Under 154.
Players to watch: Jake Hansen of Milwaukee, 9 points a game; Nate Malosa of Milwaukee, 8.1 points a game; Danilo Jovanovich of Milwaukee, 2 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
MILW 71, INST 80model score
-8.5model spread (home)
151.0model total
17.5points off the final margin
FavoriteINST -4.54.0LostUnder 152.51.5Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-4.5
151.5
our snapshots
Latest
+9.0
155.5
3981.5
-55000.0
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
-4.5
152.5
-205
170
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin -9 (home)ATS MILW coveredTotal 155 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
MILW
2
248
1
+1 h
INST
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
