Adonis Ratliff led USC with 25 points and 5 3-pointers. Amare Hereford had 14 points for Milwaukee. Alijah Arenas led all players with 8 rebounds for USC.
USC had 12 3-pointers to Milwaukee's 6. USC covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 14.8 points.
Milwaukee went 12-20 overall and 8-12 in the Horizon League in 2025-26 and lost at Detroit Mercy in the first round of the league tournament as the No. 8 seed.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
MILW 69, USC 87model score
-17.2model spread (home)
156.0model total
14.8points off the final margin
UnderdogMILW +26.59.3LostUnder 160.54.5Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Close
-26.5
160.5
-20000
3500
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +32 (home)ATS USC coveredTotal 158 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
MILW
–
1,741
1
-2 h
USC
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
