Away · model win chance 4%
65
Purdue Boilermakers
Home · model win chance 96%
87
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: BTN · Tickets from $36 · Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ET
Oakland Golden Grizzlies 654% to win Purdue Boilermakers 8796% to win
PUR -21.5model spread
151.8model total
65possessions

No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

OAKPUR
Net rating-9.1 #273+18.4 #42
Offense108.5 #123118.2 #29
Defense117.6 #35399.8 #67
Tempo69.7 #22566.1 #359
Games this season64
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Oakland Golden Grizzlies1 short1,458same
Purdue Boilermakersnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.