Wright State rolled past Samford 90-66 on the road in Homewood.
Belgrade, Serbia, native Ilija Milijasevic led Wright State with 17 points and 8 rebounds. Will Shaver had 15 points for Samford. Cade Norris led all players with 8 rebounds for Samford.
Wright State had 52 points in the paint to Samford's 36. Wright State covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 16.0 points.
Scott Nagy went 167-90 in eight seasons as Wright State's coach from 2016-17 through 2023-24.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Wright State vs. Samford prediction: model has Wright State by 9
Wright State (3-0) visits Samford at Pete Hanna Center in Homewood Friday at 8 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Wright State a 9.4-point favorite, projecting an 83-74 final, and gives Wright State a 78% chance to win. The betting market has Wright State favored by 1 with a total of 157.5. The model leans Wright State -1.0 and Under 157.5.
Players to watch: Andrea Holden of Wright State, 14.5 points a game; Kellen Pickett of Wright State, 13.7 points a game; Noah Lewis of Wright State, 12.6 points a game.
Wright State traveled about 594 miles to Homewood and crossed 1.0 time zone.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
WRST 82, SAM 74model score
+8.0model spread (home)
157.0model total
16.0points off the final margin
FavoriteWRST -1.56.5WonUnder 157.50.5Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
+3.0
157.0
our snapshots
Latest
+19.5
166.5
7155.5
-55000.0
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
+1.5
157.5
-102
-118
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -24 (home)ATS WRST coveredTotal 156 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
WRST
2
594
1
-1 h
SAM
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
