Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Eastern Illinois prediction: model has Eastern Illinois by 3
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Purdue Fort Wayne (1-2) visits Eastern Illinois at Groniger Arena in Charleston Sunday at 3 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Eastern Illinois a 3.2-point favorite, projecting a 75-72 final, and gives Eastern Illinois a 60% chance to win. The betting market has Purdue Fort Wayne favored by 3 with a total of 146. The model leans Eastern Illinois +3.0 and Over 146.
Players to watch: Anthony Isaac Jr. of Purdue Fort Wayne, 13.4 points a game; Ashton Williamson of Purdue Fort Wayne, 8.4 points a game; DeAndre Lewis of Purdue Fort Wayne, 4.3 points a game.
Purdue Fort Wayne opened its 2026-27 regular-season home schedule on Nov. 7 with a 103-65 win over Albion at Gates Sports Center.
Model makes it EIU -3.2; the market says PFW -3. That is 6.2 points of daylight toward EIU, a big lean on the underdog.
Over 1460.7
Model total 146.7 against a market 146: a slight lean to the over by 0.7.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
PFW
EIU
Net rating
-13.5 #317
-14.4 #325
Offense
98.6 #303
96.9 #316
Defense
112.1 #292
111.3 #280
Tempo
71.5 #100
69.7 #226
Games this season
3
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
