Michigan State Spartans
Home · model win chance 100%
98
Preview · Sat 11/21, 12 PM ET
· How to watch: BTN
· Tickets from $29
· Breslin Center, East Lansing, MI
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETMSU -42.5model spread
154.5model total
73possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Xavier Istomin-Monroe DETM · C
-1.0#67 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
London Maiden DETM · F
-0.7#95 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Ayden Carter DETM · G
+1.1#21 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| DETM | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -19.0 #350 | +34.1 #2 |
| Offense | 95.1 #329 | 124.5 #4 |
| Defense | 114.1 #326 | 90.5 #10 |
| Tempo | 71.7 #94 | 71.4 #103 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Mercy Titans | 2 | 56 | same |
| Michigan State Spartans | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.