West Florida Argonauts
Home · model win chance 61%
73
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $32
· UWF Field House, Pensacola, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETUWF -3.3model spread
142.7model total
66possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Isaiah Sutherland GB · F
+2.7#17 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Marcus Hall GB · F
+1.2#33 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Ne'quan Brown GB · G
+0.7#30 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| GB | UWF | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -2.6 #182 | -3.0 #186 |
| Offense | 106.4 #170 | 104.2 #209 |
| Defense | 108.9 #242 | 107.2 #201 |
| Tempo | 66.6 #350 | 70.2 #198 |
| Games this season | 5 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Phoenix | 3 | 973 | same |
| West Florida Argonauts | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.