Green Bay came within a point of a second straight NCAA tournament upset in 1995, when the 14th-seeded Phoenix lost 49-48 to third-seeded Purdue.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
GB 58, CIN 80model score
-21.5model spread (home)
138.4model total
4.5points off the final margin
UnderdogGB +24.53.0WonUnder 152.514.1Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Close
-24.5
152.5
-6500
2000
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +17 (home)ATS GB coveredTotal 145 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
GB
2
413
1
+1 h
CIN
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).