Arizona State Sun Devils
Home · model win chance 97%
92
Preview · Wed 11/18, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $6
· Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETASU -22.1model spread
162.2model total
69possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Chris Fields Jr. OAK · F
+4.9#3 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Camden Thompson OAK · F
+3.8#4 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Ryder Bradley OAK · G
-1.9#113 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| OAK | ASU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -9.1 #273 | +17.8 #44 |
| Offense | 108.5 #123 | 119.8 #19 |
| Defense | 117.6 #353 | 102.0 #98 |
| Tempo | 69.7 #225 | 69.4 #249 |
| Games this season | 6 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 3 | 1,681 | -2 h |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.