Cleveland State vs. Alabama A&M prediction: model has Alabama A&M by 8
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Cleveland State (2-2) visits Alabama A&M at Event Center in Huntsville Sunday at 3 PM ET on SWAC TV.
Our model makes Alabama A&M a 7.7-point favorite, projecting an 82-74 final, and gives Alabama A&M a 74% chance to win. The betting market has Alabama A&M favored by 2.5 with a total of 142.5. The model leans Alabama A&M -2.5 and Over 142.5.
Players to watch: Dre Jones of Cleveland State, 9.3 points a game; Gavin Headings of Cleveland State, 3.5 points a game; Alex Bruskotter of Cleveland State, 3.3 points a game.
Cleveland State is on one day of rest and is playing its third straight road game.
Off the court, Cleveland State claims Carl Stokes: Carl Stokes graduated from Cleveland-Marshall College of Law in 1956 and was elected mayor of Cleveland on November 7, 1967.
Model makes it AAMU -7.7; the market says AAMU -2.5. That is 5.2 points of daylight toward AAMU, a big lean on the favorite.
Over 142.513.8
Model total 156.3 against a market 142.5: a big lean to the over by 13.8.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
CLE
AAMU
Net rating
-17.4 #344
-11.5 #297
Offense
107.0 #158
99.5 #288
Defense
124.4 #365
110.9 #274
Tempo
68.9 #275
69.5 #242
Games this season
4
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
