Cleveland State edged West Florida 69-67 at Event Center.
Reynoldsburg, Ohio, native Xavier McKinney led Cleveland State with 17 points. Eze Wali had 12 points for West Florida.
Cleveland State had 12 offensive rebounds to West Florida's 3. Cleveland State covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 17.3 points.
Cleveland State's 11-game nonconference schedule includes only four home dates and trips to Missouri, Xavier, Oregon State and Pitt.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
West Florida vs. Cleveland State prediction: model has West Florida by 15
West Florida and Cleveland State (1-2) meet at Event Center Friday at 3 PM ET on SWAC TV.
Our model makes West Florida a 15-point favorite, projecting a 92-77 final, and gives West Florida a 89% chance to win. The betting market has Cleveland State favored by 1.5 with a total of 150.5. The model leans West Florida +1.5 and Over 150.5.
Players to watch: Dre Jones of Cleveland State, 9 points a game; Alex Bruskotter of Cleveland State, 3 points a game; Gavin Headings of Cleveland State, 2.7 points a game.
Cleveland State is playing its second straight road game and traveled about 486 miles to Huntsville and crossed 1.0 time zone.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UWF 93, CLE 77model score
+15.3model spread (home)
170.0model total
17.3points off the final margin
FavoriteUWF -1.513.8LostOver 150.519.5Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-4.0
155.0
our snapshots
Latest
-4.5
139.5
-6000.0
1400.0
our snapshots (4 books)
Close
+1.5
150.5
-102
-118
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +2 (home)ATS CLE coveredTotal 136 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UWF
non-MAC team, not tracked
CLE
3
486
2
-1 h
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
