Away · model win chance 10%
63
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Home · model win chance 90%
79
Preview · Wed 11/18, 6:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $24 · Gervin GameAbove Center, Ypsilanti, MI · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ET
Detroit Mercy Titans 6310% to win Eastern Michigan Eagles 7990% to win
EMU -15.8model spread
142.1model total
69possessions

No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

DETMEMU
Net rating-19.0 #350-1.7 #172
Offense95.1 #329102.7 #235
Defense114.1 #326104.4 #142
Tempo71.7 #9468.2 #301
Games this season33
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Detroit Mercy Titans330same
Eastern Michigan Eaglesnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.