Northern Illinois beat Bellarmine 72-64 on the road in Louisville.
Round Rock, Texas, native Uzziah Buntyn led Northern Illinois with 19 points and 4 3-pointers. Kenyon Goodin had 15 points for Bellarmine. Louisville, Ohio, native Brayden Gross led all players with 13 rebounds for Northern Illinois.
Northern Illinois covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 10.6 points.
Northern Illinois has had eight players taken in the NBA draft, from Jim Smith by the Los Angeles Lakers in 1969 to Tim Dillon by the Chicago Bulls in the third round in 1984.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Northern Illinois vs. Bellarmine prediction: model has Bellarmine by 3
Northern Illinois (2-2) visits Bellarmine at Knights Hall in Louisville Saturday at 2 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Bellarmine a 2.6-point favorite, projecting a 79-76 final, and gives Bellarmine a 58% chance to win. The betting market has Northern Illinois favored by 1.5 with a total of 149.5. The model leans Bellarmine +1.5 and Over 149.5.
Players to watch: Max Weisbrod of Northern Illinois, 16 points a game; Trevor Polite of Northern Illinois, 6.9 points a game; Bennett Basich of Northern Illinois, 5.5 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
NIU 76, BELL 79model score
-2.6model spread (home)
155.6model total
10.6points off the final margin
UnderdogBELL +1.54.1LostOver 149.56.1Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-1.0
152.5
our snapshots
Latest
+8.5
133.0
11011
-100000
our snapshots (6 books)
Close
+1.5
149.5
102
-122
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -8 (home)ATS NIU coveredTotal 136 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
NIU
2
299
1
+1 h
BELL
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
