St. Thomas Tommies
Away · model win chance 40%
78
Preview · Sat 11/21, 3 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $24
· UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena, Milwaukee, WI
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETMILW -3.0model spread
159.0model total
71possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Nate Malosa MILW · F
+4.3#5 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Chandler Jackson MILW · F
-0.5#87 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Aaron Womack III MILW · G
+2.2#11 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| STMN | MILW | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -1.9 #176 | -3.1 #187 |
| Offense | 113.3 #63 | 101.9 #252 |
| Defense | 115.2 #334 | 105.0 #157 |
| Tempo | 69.3 #253 | 72.2 #77 |
| Games this season | 5 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas Tommies | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Milwaukee Panthers | 7 | 877 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.