Away · model win chance 8%
64
Cincinnati Bearcats
Home · model win chance 92%
82
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $6 · Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ET
Youngstown State Penguins 648% to win Cincinnati Bearcats 8292% to win
CIN -17.2model spread
146.2model total
72possessions

No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

YSUCIN
Net rating-0.0 #159+18.4 #41
Offense105.1 #189111.4 #83
Defense105.2 #16092.9 #20
Tempo71.6 #9570.8 #154
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Youngstown State Penguins3245same
Cincinnati Bearcatsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.