Youngstown State's mascots, Pete and Penny, are two penguins dressed in scarves and stocking caps.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Marshall vs. Youngstown State prediction: model has Youngstown State by 2
Marshall visits Youngstown State (1-2) at Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center in Youngstown Saturday at 1 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Youngstown State a 2.3-point favorite, projecting an 80-78 final, and gives Youngstown State a 57% chance to win. The betting market has Marshall favored by 1 with a total of 159. The model leans Youngstown State +1.0 and Under 159.
Players to watch: Jaiden Haynes of Youngstown State, 11.1 points a game; Jeff Nwankwo of Youngstown State, 9 points a game; Kelvin Amoako of Youngstown State, 8.9 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
MRSH 78, YSU 80model score
-2.3model spread (home)
158.3model total
0.7points off the final margin
UnderdogYSU +1.53.8WonOver 157.50.8Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
PK
160.0
our snapshots
Latest
-2.0
146.5
-4500.0
837.5
our snapshots (5 books)
Close
+1.5
157.5
100
-120
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +3 (home)ATS YSU coveredTotal 145 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
MRSH
non-MAC team, not tracked
YSU
3
272
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
