William & Mary Tribe
Away · model win chance 35%
81
Preview · Sun 11/22, 2 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $19
· Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center, Youngstown, OH
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETYSU -4.6model spread
167.4model total
74possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kelvin Amoako YSU · C
+3.6#7 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Jaiden Haynes YSU · G
+2.7#13 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Jeff Nwankwo YSU · G
+5.8#2 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| W&M | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -0.8 #164 | -0.0 #159 |
| Offense | 112.9 #68 | 105.1 #189 |
| Defense | 113.7 #321 | 105.2 #160 |
| Tempo | 73.1 #42 | 71.6 #95 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| William & Mary Tribe | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Youngstown State Penguins | 3 | 245 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.