Penn State Nittany Lions
Home · model win chance 89%
92
Preview · Wed 11/18, 6:30 PM ET
· How to watch: BTN
· Tickets from $8
· Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, PA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETPSU -14.9model spread
168.5model total
74possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kameron Tinsley IUIN · F
+3.3#10 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Manasseh Stackhouse IUIN · F
+2.8#11 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Peyton Heiss IUIN · G
+0.1#45 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| IUIN | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -9.7 #282 | +5.0 #113 |
| Offense | 104.4 #202 | 112.9 #67 |
| Defense | 114.1 #327 | 107.9 #215 |
| Tempo | 73.0 #46 | 71.4 #106 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU Indianapolis Jaguars | 3 | 624 | same |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.