Northern Illinois beat Dayton 81-76 on the road in Dayton.
Park Forest, Illinois, native David Douglas Jr. led Northern Illinois with 27 points. Aiden Derkack had 20 points and 10 rebounds for Dayton, a game high on the boards.
Northern Illinois had 12 3-pointers to Dayton's 2. Northern Illinois covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 33.8 points.
DeKalb, home of Northern Illinois, is also a seed corn name, as the DeKalb Agricultural Association began producing seed in 1934 under a flying ear of corn logo.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
NIU 63, DAY 92model score
-28.8model spread (home)
155.0model total
33.8points off the final margin
FavoriteDAY -19.59.3LostOver 148.56.5Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Close
-19.5
148.5
-4000
1600
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -5 (home)ATS NIU coveredTotal 157 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
NIU
1
838
1
+1 h
DAY
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).