Bowling Green Falcons
Home · model win chance 75%
81
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $28
· Stroh Center, Bowling Green, OH
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETBGSU -8.0model spread
153.9model total
68possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Brayden Gross NIU · F
+2.6#19 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Trevor Polite NIU · G
+3.2#8 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Bennett Basich NIU · G
+0.1#51 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| NIU | BGSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.2 #232 | +0.3 #152 |
| Offense | 105.8 #173 | 111.3 #86 |
| Defense | 112.0 #289 | 111.0 #277 |
| Tempo | 67.5 #329 | 70.3 #188 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois Huskies | 2 | 246 | +1 h |
| Bowling Green Falcons | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.