Central Michigan beat Northern Kentucky 68-57 on the road in Highland Heights.
Phat Phat Brooks led Central Michigan with 27 points. Willie Foster had 21 points for Northern Kentucky. Conrad Luczynski led all players with 12 rebounds for Central Michigan.
Central Michigan covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 11.1 points.
Wright State is about 70 miles from Northern Kentucky, and the two schools became Horizon League travel partners when the Norse joined the league in 2015.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Central Michigan vs. Northern Kentucky prediction
Central Michigan visits Northern Kentucky (2-2) at Truist Arena in Highland Heights Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model calls it a toss-up. The betting market has Northern Kentucky favored by 3 with a total of 163. The model leans Central Michigan +3.0 and Over 163.
Players to watch: Noah Pagotto of Northern Kentucky, 16.7 points a game; Donovan Rakotonanahary of Northern Kentucky, 3.5 points a game; Ryan Tolliver of Northern Kentucky, 2.5 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
CMU 85, NKU 85model score
-0.1model spread (home)
170.0model total
11.1points off the final margin
UnderdogCMU +3.53.4WonOver 161.58.5Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-3.0
161.0
our snapshots
Latest
+4.5
125.5
1525.0
-10833.5
our snapshots (7 books)
Close
-3.5
161.5
-162
136
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -11 (home)ATS CMU coveredTotal 125 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
CMU
non-MAC team, not tracked
NKU
3
310
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
