Florida State Seminoles
Home · model win chance 92%
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Preview · Fri 11/20, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ACCNX
· Tickets from $7
· Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETFSU -17.1model spread
154.0model total
70possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Isaiah Sutherland GB · F
+2.7#17 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Marcus Hall GB · F
+1.2#33 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Ne'quan Brown GB · G
+0.7#30 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| GB | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -2.6 #182 | +16.5 #49 |
| Offense | 106.4 #170 | 116.6 #43 |
| Defense | 108.9 #242 | 100.1 #70 |
| Tempo | 66.6 #350 | 73.7 #29 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Phoenix | 2 | 175 | +1 h |
| Florida State Seminoles | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.