Xavier Musketeers
Home · model win chance 100%
98
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $8
· Cintas Center, Cincinnati, OH
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:01 AM ETXAV -33.1model spread
162.3model total
74possessions
No line yet. Horizon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Dre Jones CLE · F
+0.4#44 overall in Horizon
Offensive engine
Alex Bruskotter CLE · G
+0.6#46 offense in Horizon
Defensive anchor
Gavin Headings CLE · F
-1.3#91 defense in Horizon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 158 rated Horizon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| CLE | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -17.4 #344 | +21.8 #25 |
| Offense | 107.0 #158 | 110.3 #104 |
| Defense | 124.4 #365 | 88.6 #6 |
| Tempo | 68.9 #275 | 75.8 #5 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Horizon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland State Vikings | 1 short | 325 | same |
| Xavier Musketeers | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.