Northwestern Wildcats
Neutral · model win chance 71%
76
Preview · Sun 11/22, 1 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN2
· Tickets from $77
· TD Arena, Charleston, SC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:33 AM ETNU -6.5model spread
146.5model total
67possessions
No line yet. A-10 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Amal L'Etang DAY · F
+5.0#23 overall in A-10
Offensive engine
Aiden Derkack DAY · G
+1.9#40 offense in A-10
Defensive anchor
Grant Randall DAY · F
-0.7#130 defense in A-10
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 187 rated A-10 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| DAY | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -3.7 #201 | +6.0 #103 |
| Offense | 107.9 #137 | 107.8 #139 |
| Defense | 111.6 #283 | 101.8 #93 |
| Tempo | 70.7 #168 | 67.1 #339 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When A-10 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 1 short | 0 | same |
| Northwestern Wildcats | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.