Dayton at Northwestern (neutral site)
Model: NU -6.5, total 146.5, projected DAY 70, NU 76, win chance DAY 29% / NU 71%
Dayton 1-3, L3
Scoring 81.5, allowing 83.2
Model: net -3.7 (No. 201 D-I), off No. 137, def No. 283, pace No. 168
Dayton Flyers is on one day of rest and is playing its second straight road game.
Last 4
| 11/14 | vs Cincinnati | L 72-95 |
| 11/10 | vs Siena | L 89-99 |
| 11/7 | vs Northern Illinois | L 76-81 |
| 11/2 | vs NJIT | W 89-58 |
Rotation (by minutes)
| # | Player | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aiden Derkack G Colonia, NJ · last: 10 pts vs CIN |
32.0 | 19.0 | 8.2 | 2.8 |
| 2 | Grant Randall F Queens, NY · last: 6 pts vs CIN |
31.2 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| 5 | Tristian Ford G Rockford, IL · last: 15 pts vs CIN |
30.8 | 13.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 6 | Landen Joseph G West Palm Beach, FL · last: 4 pts vs CIN |
26.5 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 29 | Amal L'Etang F Bastia, France · last: 19 pts vs CIN |
25.0 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Zaide Lowery G Springfield, MO |
19.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 11 | Travis Perry G Eddyville, KY · last: 0 pts vs CIN |
13.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 3 | Jaiun Simon F Mableton, GA · last: 1 pts vs CIN |
11.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | Malcolm Thomas F Mitchellville, MD · last: 8 pts vs CIN |
10.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 14 | Julian Washington G Castalia, OH · last: 3 pts vs CIN |
9.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
Northwestern 3-1
Scoring 70.8, allowing 61.8
Model: net +6.0 (No. 103 D-I), off No. 139, def No. 93, pace No. 339
Last 4
| 11/13 | vs DePaul | L 47-67 |
| 11/9 | vs Boston University | W 72-55 |
| 11/6 | vs Stony Brook | W 78-65 |
| 11/2 | vs Binghamton | W 86-60 |
Outside the A-10: we track this team's results and rating, not its roster. Its record counts the games in our D-I results file.
* conference game. Stats from ESPN box scores through the last final; model and market from Hardwood Bricks's ratings and our capture of sportsbook lines. Free to use on air and in notes with credit to Hardwood Bricks.