Mayville State vs. South Dakota State prediction: model has South Dakota State by 47
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Mayville State visits South Dakota State (4-0) at First Bank & Trust Arena in Brookings Monday at 8 PM ET on Summit League Network and Midco Sports Plus.
Our model makes South Dakota State a 46.8-point favorite, projecting a 96-49 final. Mayville State is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.
Players to watch: Jon Mekonnen of South Dakota State, 14.5 points a game; Kalen Garry of South Dakota State, 11.1 points a game; EJ Ryans of South Dakota State, 8.1 points a game.
SDST is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Summit players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
MYSU
SDST
Net rating
non-D-I
+7.8 #89
Offense
non-D-I
105.1 #185
Defense
non-D-I
97.3 #43
Tempo
non-D-I
67.8 #313
Games this season
216
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
