Doane Tigers
Away · model win chance 0%
68
Home · model win chance 100%
100
Preview · Sun 11/15, 4:30 PM ET · How to watch: Summit League Network, Midco Sports Plus · Sanford Coyote Sports Center, Vermillion, SD · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Doane vs. South Dakota prediction: model has South Dakota by 32

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Doane visits South Dakota (1-4) at Sanford Coyote Sports Center in Vermillion Sunday at 4:30 PM ET on Summit League Network and Midco Sports Plus.

Our model makes South Dakota a 31.9-point favorite, projecting a 100-68 final. Doane is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.

Players to watch: Vince Buzelis of South Dakota, 15.1 points a game; Josiah Dotzler of South Dakota, 12 points a game; Stef van Bussel of South Dakota, 9.1 points a game.

South Dakota is on one day of rest.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ET
Doane Tigers 680% to win South Dakota Coyotes 100100% to win
SDAK -31.9model spread
167.6model total
78possessions

SDAK is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Summit players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

DOANSDAK
Net ratingnon-D-I-15.0 #329
Offensenon-D-I102.8 #227
Defensenon-D-I117.8 #355
Temponon-D-I72.4 #64
Games this season2165
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Summit lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Doane Tigersnon-Summit team, not tracked
South Dakota Coyotes1 short188same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.