Colorado State Rams
Home · model win chance 85%
81
Preview · Wed 11/18, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: YouTube
· Tickets from $11
· Moby Arena, Fort Collins, CO
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ETCSU -12.2model spread
149.2model total
69possessions
No line yet. Summit lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kaden Tate NDSU · F
+2.6#8 overall in Summit
Offensive engine
Riley Massey NDSU · G
+1.6#14 offense in Summit
Defensive anchor
Rob Diaz III NDSU · G
-0.0#28 defense in Summit
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Summit players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| NDSU | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -9.2 #272 | +3.1 #130 |
| Offense | 105.2 #184 | 106.3 #167 |
| Defense | 114.4 #332 | 103.2 #120 |
| Tempo | 68.7 #275 | 70.3 #188 |
| Games this season | 6 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Summit lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison | 2 | 600 | -1 h |
| Colorado State Rams | non-Summit team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.