Away · model win chance 40%
78
Milwaukee Panthers
Home · model win chance 60%
81
Preview · Sat 11/21, 3 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $24 · UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena, Milwaukee, WI · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ET
St. Thomas Tommies 7840% to win Milwaukee Panthers 8160% to win
MILW -3.0model spread
159.1model total
71possessions

No line yet. Summit lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Summit players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

STMNMILW
Net rating-1.9 #176-3.1 #188
Offense113.3 #64101.9 #253
Defense115.1 #337105.0 #155
Tempo69.3 #24972.2 #78
Games this season55
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Summit lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
St. Thomas Tommies1 short289same
Milwaukee Panthersnon-Summit team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.