SMU Mustangs
Home · model win chance 94%
85
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ACCNX
· Tickets from $7
· Moody Coliseum (Dallas), Dallas, TX
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:35 PM ETSMU -18.2model spread
151.7model total
72possessions
No line yet. Summit lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Cal Furnish ORU · G
+1.1#18 overall in Summit
Offensive engine
Martins Kilups ORU · G
-0.9#65 offense in Summit
Defensive anchor
Luke Gray ORU · F
+0.7#22 defense in Summit
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Summit players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| ORU | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -7.7 #257 | +12.3 #74 |
| Offense | 98.8 #298 | 115.1 #50 |
| Defense | 106.6 #182 | 102.8 #113 |
| Tempo | 68.5 #288 | 73.6 #32 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Summit lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 2 | 237 | same |
| SMU Mustangs | non-Summit team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.