San Francisco Dons
Neutral · model win chance 20%
66
Preview · Mon 11/23, 4:30 PM ET
· How to watch: FloSports
· Tickets from $58
· Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 5:31 PM ETNEV -9.9model spread
142.2model total
69possessions
No line yet. Mountain West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Elijah Price NEV · F
+5.5#11 overall in Mountain West
Offensive engine
Peyton White NEV · G
+4.0#3 offense in Mountain West
Defensive anchor
Vaughn Weems NEV · G
+0.9#52 defense in Mountain West
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 130 rated Mountain West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| NEV | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +10.5 #79 | -3.9 #201 |
| Offense | 109.5 #115 | 102.4 #244 |
| Defense | 99.0 #55 | 106.3 #176 |
| Tempo | 70.4 #182 | 69.1 #259 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Mountain West lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 4 | 433 | same |
| San Francisco Dons | non-Mountain West team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.