Samford Bulldogs
Home · model win chance 64%
79
Preview · Sun 11/22, 5 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $34
· Pete Hanna Center, Homewood, AL
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ETSAM -4.4model spread
154.0model total
70possessions
No line yet. Big South lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Daniel Thomas UNCA · F
+3.5#12 overall in Big South
Offensive engine
Myles Mayfield UNCA · F
+2.0#11 offense in Big South
Defensive anchor
Kelcy Phipps UNCA · G
+1.1#21 defense in Big South
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Big South players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UNCA | SAM | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -7.2 #254 | -6.3 #239 |
| Offense | 104.7 #197 | 104.0 #212 |
| Defense | 111.9 #287 | 110.3 #264 |
| Tempo | 70.0 #209 | 70.7 #163 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big South lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | 3 | 283 | -1 h |
| Samford Bulldogs | non-Big South team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.