Away · model win chance 31%
73
UNC Greensboro Spartans
Home · model win chance 69%
79
Preview · Sat 11/21, 11 AM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $46 · Bodford Arena, Greensboro, NC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ET
South Carolina Upstate Spartans 7331% to win UNC Greensboro Spartans 7969% to win
UNCG -6.1model spread
152.2model total
68possessions

No line yet. Big South lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Big South players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UPSTUNCG
Net rating-13.7 #319-10.2 #287
Offense99.7 #284105.4 #176
Defense113.3 #318115.6 #340
Tempo69.3 #25169.5 #236
Games this season54
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big South lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
South Carolina Upstate Spartans2143same
UNC Greensboro Spartansnon-Big South team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.