Samford Bulldogs
Away · model win chance 54%
76
Preview · Wed 11/18, 6:30 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $47
· G.B. Hodge Center, Spartanburg, SC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ETSAM -1.3model spread
150.2model total
70possessions
No line yet. Big South lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Alessandro Perotti UPST · F
+2.3#18 overall in Big South
Offensive engine
Ries Naugle UPST · G
+0.7#32 offense in Big South
Defensive anchor
Miles Webb UPST · F
+0.7#26 defense in Big South
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Big South players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| SAM | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.3 #239 | -13.7 #319 |
| Offense | 104.0 #212 | 99.7 #284 |
| Defense | 110.3 #264 | 113.3 #318 |
| Tempo | 70.7 #163 | 69.3 #251 |
| Games this season | 3 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big South lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samford Bulldogs | non-Big South team, not tracked | ||
| South Carolina Upstate Spartans | 3 | 183 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.