East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Home · model win chance 79%
76
Preview · Sat 11/21, 4 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $59
· Freedom Hall (TN), Johnson City, TN
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ETETSU -9.5model spread
143.5model total
68possessions
No line yet. Big South lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kany Musungay LONG · F
+3.6#10 overall in Big South
Offensive engine
Lazar Milosevic LONG · F
+2.4#9 offense in Big South
Defensive anchor
Jaylen Benard LONG · G
+3.9#7 defense in Big South
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Big South players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| LONG | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -2.8 #186 | +5.8 #108 |
| Offense | 105.1 #187 | 108.0 #137 |
| Defense | 107.8 #216 | 102.1 #100 |
| Tempo | 72.4 #63 | 65.8 #360 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big South lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Longwood Lancers | 2 | 230 | same |
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | non-Big South team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.