Chattanooga Mocs
Away · model win chance 59%
86
Home · model win chance 41%
83
Preview · Wed 11/18, 6:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $15 · Winthrop Coliseum, Rock Hill, SC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ET
Chattanooga Mocs 8659% to win Winthrop Eagles 8341% to win
UTC -2.7model spread
169.1model total
74possessions

No line yet. Big South lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Big South players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UTCWIN
Net rating-0.3 #158-9.4 #278
Offense111.0 #91103.7 #215
Defense111.2 #280113.0 #309
Tempo70.7 #16874.1 #22
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big South lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Chattanooga Mocsnon-Big South team, not tracked
Winthrop Eagles30same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.