Montana State Bobcats
Away · model win chance 18%
67
Preview · Thu 11/19, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $43
· Qubein Center, High Point, NC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ETHPU -10.8model spread
144.9model total
70possessions
No line yet. Big South lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Cam'Ron Fletcher HPU · F
+11.0#1 overall in Big South
Offensive engine
Conrad Martinez HPU · G
+2.9#2 offense in Big South
Defensive anchor
Isaac Garrett HPU · F
+6.1#2 defense in Big South
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Big South players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MTST | HPU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +3.1 #131 | +13.1 #69 |
| Offense | 110.0 #107 | 107.3 #152 |
| Defense | 106.9 #189 | 94.2 #29 |
| Tempo | 69.7 #228 | 70.9 #149 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big South lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | non-Big South team, not tracked | ||
| High Point Panthers | 3 | 590 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.