Mercer Bears
Home · model win chance 68%
84
Preview · Sat 11/21, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Hawkins Arena, Macon, GA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:36 PM ETMER -5.7model spread
162.4model total
74possessions
No line yet. Big South lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Lase Olalere CHSO · F
+6.5#4 overall in Big South
Offensive engine
Jacob Taylor CHSO · G
+1.3#17 offense in Big South
Defensive anchor
Nicholas Errica CHSO · G
+0.1#39 defense in Big South
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Big South players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| CHSO | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -3.9 #202 | -1.7 #172 |
| Offense | 102.9 #226 | 109.2 #117 |
| Defense | 106.8 #187 | 111.0 #278 |
| Tempo | 73.4 #38 | 71.4 #108 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big South lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 2 | 215 | same |
| Mercer Bears | non-Big South team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.