High Point vs. Saint Louis prediction: model has Saint Louis by 15
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
High Point (4-0) visits Saint Louis at Chaifetz Arena in St. Louis Sunday at 3 PM ET on ESPN2.
Our model makes Saint Louis a 14.8-point favorite, projecting an 86-72 final, and gives Saint Louis a 89% chance to win. The betting market has High Point favored by 12.5 with a total of 159.5. The model leans Saint Louis +12.5 and Under 159.5.
Players to watch: Cam'Ron Fletcher of High Point, 12.7 points a game; Conrad Martinez of High Point, 6.2 points a game; Isaac Garrett of High Point, 6.1 points a game.
High Point traveled about 590 miles to St. Louis and crossed 1.0 time zone.
Model makes it SLU -14.8; the market says HPU -12.5. That is 27.3 points of daylight toward SLU, a big lean on the underdog.
Under 159.51.3
Model total 158.2 against a market 159.5: a slight lean to the under by 1.3.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 115 rated Big South players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
HPU
SLU
Net rating
+13.1 #69
+27.5 #11
Offense
107.3 #152
124.6 #3
Defense
94.2 #29
97.1 #42
Tempo
70.9 #149
74.3 #20
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
