Mississippi State Bulldogs
Neutral · model win chance 61%
82
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7:30 PM ET
· How to watch: SECN+
· Tickets from $25
· Mississippi Coliseum, Jackson, MS
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ETMSST -3.3model spread
161.7model total
71possessions
No line yet. American lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Chris Loofe TLSA · F
+9.4#4 overall in American
Offensive engine
Myles Rigsby TLSA · G
+5.2#6 offense in American
Defensive anchor
Macon Emory TLSA · F
+0.7#53 defense in American
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| TLSA | MSST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +9.5 #83 | +14.1 #64 |
| Offense | 117.6 #34 | 113.5 #62 |
| Defense | 108.1 #217 | 99.4 #63 |
| Tempo | 70.1 #200 | 71.6 #99 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When American lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 3 | 425 | same |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | non-American team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.