Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Away · model win chance 19%
73
Home · model win chance 81%
84
Preview · Mon 11/16, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPNU · Tickets from $12 · Reynolds Center, Tulsa, OK · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

Western Kentucky vs. Tulsa prediction: model has Tulsa by 11

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

Western Kentucky visits Tulsa (3-0) at Reynolds Center in Tulsa Monday at 7 PM ET on ESPNU.

Our model makes Tulsa a 10.7-point favorite, projecting an 84-73 final, and gives Tulsa a 81% chance to win.

Players to watch: Chris Loofe of Tulsa, 12.7 points a game; Myles Rigsby of Tulsa, 10.6 points a game; Macon Emory of Tulsa, 7 points a game.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 1:33 PM ET
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 7319% to win Tulsa Golden Hurricane 8481% to win
TLSA -10.7model spread
157.2model total
72possessions

No line yet. American lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 169 rated American players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

WKUTLSA
Net rating+0.0 #157+9.5 #83
Offense102.6 #237117.6 #34
Defense102.6 #110108.1 #217
Tempo72.0 #8170.1 #200
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When American lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersnon-American team, not tracked
Tulsa Golden Hurricane40same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.